Publications: Infectious Disease Dynamics

Title	Year	Journal
Surveillance-to-Diagnostic Testing Program for Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infections on a Large, Urban Campus in Fall 2020	2022	Epidemiology
Counteracting COVID-19 Risk Misestimation with an Interactive Website: An Online Informational Intervention	2022	PsyArXiv
Quantifying Risk for SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Nursing Home Workers for the 2020-2021 Winter Surge of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Georgia, USA	2022	Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
How time-scale differences in asymptomatic and symptomatic transmission shape SARS-CoV-2 outbreak dynamics	2022	medRxiv
Scenario-Based Messages on Social Media Motivate COVID-19 Information Seeking	2022	PsyArXiv
The importance of the generation interval in investigating dynamics and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants	2022	Journal of the Royal Society Interface
Intermediate levels of asymptomatic transmission can lead to the highest levels of epidemic fatalities	2022	medRxiv
Forward-looking serial intervals correctly link epidemic growth to reproduction numbers	2021	PNAS
Estimating the cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the infection fatality ratio in light of waning antibodies	2021	Epidemiology
Reacting to outbreaks at neighboring localities	2021	Journal of Theoretical Biology
Disease-dependent interaction policies to support health and economic outcomes during the COVID-19 epidemic	2021	iScience
Heterogeneity in susceptibility dictates the order of epidemic models	2021	Journal of Theoretical Biology
A framework for monitoring population immunity to SARS-CoV-2	2021	Annals of Epidemiology
Risk factors for severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seropositivity among nursing home staff	2021	Antimicrobial Stewardship & Healthcare Epidemiology
Modeling serological testing to inform relaxation of social distancing for COVID-19 control	2021	Nature Communications
Modeling shield immunity to reduce COVID-19 epidemic spread	2020	Nature Medicine
The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak	2020	Epidemics
Real-time, interactive website for US-county-level COVID-19 event risk assessment	2020	Nature Human Behavior
Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak	2020	Journal of the Royal Society Interface
Awareness-driven behavior changes can shift the shape of epidemics away from peaks and toward plateaus, shoulders, and oscillations	2020	PNAS
Spread of COVID-19 through Georgia, USA. Near-term projections and impacts of social distancing via a metapopulation model	2020	medRxiv
Systematic biases in disease forecasting – The role of behavior change	2019	Epidemics
A practical generation-interval-based approach to inferring the strength of epidemics from their speed	2019	Epidemics
Networked SIS Epidemics With Awareness	2017	IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems
Disease dynamics in a stochastic network game: a little empathy goes a long way in averting outbreaks	2017	Scientific Reports
Stochasticity and the limits to confidence when estimating R0 of Ebola and other emerging infectious diseases	2016	Journal of Theoretical Biology
Modeling post-death transmission of Ebola: challenges for inference and opportunities for control	2015	Scientific Reports
Dynamics of shigellosis epidemics: estimating individual-level transmission and reporting rates from national epidemiologic data sets	2013	American Journal of Epidemiology
Phage in the time of cholera	2006	The Lancet: Infectious Diseases

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